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Given the gloomy chat about fiction in the general media, you would be excused for thinking it was dire times for the sector. But 2017 was the third year in a row of growth for Nielsen BookScan’s Adult Fiction category; four of the top 10 of our Revenue High Flyers chart are fiction sub-genres, led by Crime, Thriller & Adventure’s £11.3m gain (to £117.7m); and Fiction had the greatest percentage jump of any of BookScan’s four key categories.
Granted, this needs context. The three successive years of revenue rises followed a 2014 which was Fiction’s all-time TCM low (£322.4m), and the £355.1m sold through the tills in 2017 was £120m down (25.2%) on 2008, he sector’s record year. Print sales of Fiction are rebounding, but they are still some distance away from the sector’s physical heyday.
In a solid but unspectacular “meh” 2017, which was devoid of big break- out trends or blow-the-doors-off bestsellers, it didn’t take much in growth terms to be the best-performing of the four main BookScan categories. Fiction’s climb of 1.7% beat the marginal gain of Adult Non-Fiction: Specialist (+0.6% to £164.9m) and Adult Non-Fiction: Trade’s (–0.6% to £687.4m) and Children’s (–0.03% to £382m) fractional losses. Though we should note that despite its drop, Children’s had its second-biggest annual TCM total since records began.
Actually, the fifth major BookScan category (and the black sheep of the family), Unclassifiable, did have excellent gains, surging 19% to £3.4m. Many of the titles here are indeed unclassifiable, closer to stationery or toys than books. The genre’s top seller last year was Game of Thrones: Oathkeeper (Running Press, 2,900 units), not a book but a miniature sword in a box. (Oathkeeper, of course, is Jamie Lannister’s Valyrian steel longsword which he eventually gives to Brienne of Tarth). But some Unclassifiable entries are books for which a publisher has failed to key in any metadata.
There was little change in format. Hardback sales were up 0.56% to £539m, while paperbacks slipped just 0.01% to £1.1bn. As in recent years, average selling price rose. In hardback it shot up a whopping 56p, to £10.68—a 5.5% jump. Paperbacks had a shallower 1.8% rise, to £7.56.
The Children’s category’s ever-so-modest decline does break a stretch of three consecutive years of best-ever value hauls through the TCM. But as we can see, 2017’s totals are 21% up on where the kids’ sector was a decade ago.
Getting schooled
In 2016, the bulk of the sales growth came from Children’s Fiction, but last year study guides took over. Or rather, continued their streak: 2017 was the fourth consecutive year the overarching School Textbooks & Study Guides (ST&SG) product class claimed a best-ever TCM total. Three of the five ST&SG sub-categories also recorded all-time highs, led by Literature, Arts & Humanities’ 11% jump to £24.2m.
Religion has had back-to-back record £20m-plus years through BookScan, with a big area of growth in Non-Christian Religions. The sub-category zoomed up 21% to £3.3m, led by an Oxford University Press translation of the Qur’an (10,300 units). Dishearteningly, the top earning title in all of the Religion category is the self-published extremist tome, Mohammed’s Koran: Why Muslims Kill for Islam (£101,000), written by ex-English Defence League leader Tommy Robinson and Peter McLoughlin, a former academic whose Muslim-baiting views have seen him banned by Twitter, Facebook and YouTube.
Indicative of the solid but unspectacular 2017 is the fact that only five sub-categories hit an all-time TCM low. And two of those—Computing & IT and Dictionaries & Reference—have been in long declines.
Yet, General & Literary Fiction (G&LF) plummeted to a rock-bottom £131.7m. That’s a wince-inducing £87.8m down on G&LF’s value at the start of the decade. Like many categories in 2017, the hits just weren’t there. Two G&LF titles last year earned more than £1m through the TCM, and both were only a smidgeon into seven figures: Sarah Perry’s The Essex Serpent (Profile) and Neil Gaiman’s Norse Mythology (Bloomsbury) both took £1.1m. By contrast, in 2016 six G&LF titles exceeded £1.1m, led by After You (Michael Joseph, £2.1m) by Jojo Moyes, who had a mammoth year.
After six years of growth, Graphic Novels stuttered, dropping 11.4%. But the £26.5m earned was the category’s second-biggest haul since records began. Despite (or because?) of a welter of films based on comic books, Graphic Novels: Superheroes dropped 22% to £7.5m. The recent fillip Graphic Novels: General has had from YouTubers’ titles has fallen off. Joe Sugg et al’s Username: Uprising (Hodder & Stoughton) sold 24,000 units, the second-bestselling title in the category in 2017. But that is less than half of what Username: Regenerated sold in 2016, and a fifth of what Username: Evie rang up in 2015.